
It’s official. What’s Hot is excited about 2012. Next year we are going to witness an abundance of media creativity in the UK. How can it not be exciting when we have the Euros, the Olympics, and even a Jubilee to plan around?
So first, the numbers. The latest Bellwether Report showed that despite a drop in marketing executives’ confidence, marketing spend has been revised upwards in Q3 2011. It seems that many UK companies are increasing marketing spend in an effort to boost sales, and the main beneficiaries are online, direct marketing and sales promotion (all media channels that deliver the immediate returns to advertisers). We estimate that 2011 ad revenue will be 2% higher than 2010. The biggest growth sectors so far have been cars and telecoms (+10%), while Government spend has declined by 33% and Retail by 13%. Our forecast for the whole of 2012 is that ad revenue will increase by 4%. The overall buoyancy masks a number of conflicting trends, such as a predicted 8% growth in Digital compared with 4% decline in Press.
So, what of the events? The first big one is the Silver Jubilee and another Bank Holiday in early June. The Royal Wedding this year took a few people by surprise, as the nation was gripped by royal family fever, or at least excited with the extra time off work. And with it came a few smart marketing initiatives such as T Mobile’s great viral, currently at 25 million views on YouTube and still growing. We are anticipating lots of Jubilee-inspired media campaigns in 2012.
Euro 2012 kicks off in Warsaw in June and, with apologies to our Scottish and Welsh readers, we are expecting a great tournament and a boost to the ad market, particularly for ITV who will share the broadcast rights with the BBC. Following this, the first British Olympics since 1948 will commence on July 22nd. The BBC will of course have exclusive TV rights for the games. Interestingly Channel 4 has purchased the rights for the Paralympics in August and You Tube will stream highlights of the Games to countries all over the world as part of an IOC deal.
The Press media owners have some interesting Olympics plans, including Metro and City AM planning weekend editions (Metro’s will be London-only and they are suggesting a print run of 350,000 copies). The Outdoor market will be even more dynamic. Vicinity sites in London, Manchester, Glasgow, Newcastle and Coventry will be exclusively sold to official Olympic sponsors and the auction process for this is already underway. Meanwhile new non-exclusive space is becoming available around the new transport, new Central London experiential spaces and Westfield. Poster companies are predicting 2012 revenue growth of 15% – one of the biggest growth years ever.
So, 2012 is going to be crammed with exciting new media opportunities, increasing advertising budgets and three major events to give advertisers the opportunity to keep their communications absolutely up-to-the-minute. It’s going to be a great year to remember in marketing.
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